Investment Return and Inflation Rate, Interest Rate & Market and Business Risk

As we mentioned in previous articles we know2. Interest rate risk
that our government only represents about 30%Investment always carries interest rate riska) All
of our retirement income. The companylong-term bonds are sensitive to ups and downs
retirement pension plan offers another 30% andof the interest rate. When interest rates go up,
many of us do not have one. It is up to individualslong term bond prices suffer the most compared
to invest wisely short and long term in order toto short term bonds, and low rates do the
make up for the short fall if he or she would likeopposite.b) It is for your own investment's sake
to live comfortably after retirement without givingby diversifying holdings and having debt securities
up some retirement plans. In this article, we willwith a range of maturities.c) Common stocks are
discuss investment return and inflation.also influenced by high interest rates, because the
1. Inflation riskhigh rates discourage business expansion. When
Inflation means too much money chasing too fewthe interest rate is down, businesses are likely to
goods, and this results in prices for goods andborrow for business expansion.
services going up. Inflation may also be expressed3. Market risk
as too much money having been printed by theThe supply and demand law governs the
central bank causing too much money comparesmarketing risk as follow:a) When demand
to the same goods produced.increases, supply decreases, thereby increasing
Sometimes with the economy's down turn and tothe cost of the product.b) When demand falls,
avoid the country falling into recession, somesupply increases at first and then it decreases.
governments may overreact with stimulated4. Business risk
packages, causing too much money in the marketInvestors are attracted to companies with
resulting in inflation. Normally, in the inflation period,growing or stable earnings, and they usually pay a
interest rates to go up, all leading to a vicioushigher price for investing in them, but under the
spiral.down turn of the economy, the risk of earnings
Inflation is measured by the annual percentagefrom the business decline, reducing not only your
(%) change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).equity but also your return. It is for investor's
In this environment your investment's real returnsake to defend against risks in your investment
must be higher than zero, otherwise you areportfolio by understanding current economic
losing money. Real return = rate of return ofconditions, knowledge of investments, and
investment minus inflation rate.diversification.